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Sunday, October 12, 2014

Severe weather today? More likely Monday.

It is 65 in Gallatin at 11:00am.
The humidity is 96%.
The dew point is 64.

Today- Severe storms possible. High 75. We aren't expecting rain until this afternoon around 4pm or so. Until then you can expect cloudy skies. There is the possibly for afternoon severe storms with a 2% tornado threat, and a 5% wind and hail threat. The wpc thinks we could see 1.70" of rain today and tonight.

Tonight- Thunderstorms likely in the evening then some rain. Low 65. Strong to severe thunderstorms are forecasted in the evening then rain overnight. There will be some short breaks in the rain but not many.

Monday- A chance of rain warm. High 83. It is Monday night when we can expect severe weather. There is a chance of storms on Monday. The wpc thinks we will see over 2" of rain. The nws thinks we could see 1.5" to 3" of rain Monday and monday night. There is a good chance a flash flood watch will be issued on Monday. It will also be windy with gusts up to 30 mph so a wind advisory will probably be needed.


Monday night- Flooding, Wind, Tornadoes, and Hail! Low 66. The spc has us in a slight risk area for Monday night.
We are under a 15% chance for any type of severe weather 25 miles from you. With the 30% to our west. This will probably change by Monday.

These storms will arrive  with a squall line. They could be here by late Monday night into early Tuesday morning. 

The reason tornadoes are in the outlook is because the line could bow out and produce tornadoes! The main threats are Large hail and damaging winds. Flooding is almost a definite threat. Wind would be the greatest because of the amount of wind shear. The damaging winds look to be on the front of the line and so do tornadoes.

Over the next 72 hours the wpc thinks we could see 4-5" of rain.
Here is a graphic from our nws regarding the severe weather potential.

This system is so powerful it looks to hold together for the plateau! Thats a long way to hold on especially at night!

Tuesday- Rain in the morning. High 69. After the line moves through the front looks like it will stall over west Tennessee giving us ran Tuesday. No severe weather is expected. 

Stay weather aware today and Monday I should have an update Monday!

NO WARNINGS WILL EVER BE POSTED ON HERE!







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